Busan I Park vs Gimpo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
12º
4º
39
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 55 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 1
BUS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 2
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
GYE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 3
BUS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gimpo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
ANG
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 2
GYE
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
SUW
22%
27%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 5
ELA
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
FCA
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |