Busan I Park vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 2
SUW
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 1
ELA
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
FCS
0 - 0
BUS
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
KOR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 0
BUC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SEO
1 - 0
DCI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
DCI
1 - 2
CDR
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 0
DCI
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DCI
0 - 2
GYE
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 2
DCI
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |