Busan I Park vs Chungju Hummel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BUS
4 - 0
KOR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
GAN
1 - 2
BUS
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 1
BUS
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 3
GYE
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
DCI
2 - 1
BUS
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chungju Hummel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
CHU
1 - 2
DCI
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
CHU
0 - 1
BUC
28%
28%
45%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
GYE
2 - 0
CHU
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
KOR
1 - 1
CHU
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CHU
0 - 0
GOY
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |