Busan I Park vs Chungbuk Cheongju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
12º
6º
40
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
4 - 1
BUS
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 0
ELA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 5
BUS
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 1
BUS
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BUS
1 - 1
GYE
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chungbuk Cheongju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 2
FCA
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
GIM
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SEO
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 2
CHE
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |