Busan I Park vs Chungbuk Cheongju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
12º
4º
35
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 55 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
GYE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 3
BUS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 2
BUS
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 2
BUC
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 2
SEO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chungbuk Cheongju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
KOR
39%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 0
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
ANG
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 3
ELA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
CHE
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |