Busan I Park vs Chungbuk Cheongju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
51
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
BUS
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 1
BUC
52%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 2
BUS
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUS
0 - 0
CHE
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GYE
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chungbuk Cheongju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
KOR
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
GYE
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
3 - 2
CHE
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
BUC
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |