Busan I Park vs Cheonan City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
12º
4º
33
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 55 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SEO
0 - 1
BUS
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
BUS
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 3
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 3
BUS
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cheonan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
FCA
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 4
ELA
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 1
CHE
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
ANG
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 2
GIM
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |