Bury vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BCF
0 - 1
AFC
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BCF
2 - 0
CLI
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
1 - 1
BCF
14%
20%
67%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
BCF
6%
15%
80%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BCF
5 - 3
LAN
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 1
DAG
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 0
GUL
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
YOR
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 5
YOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 3
NOT
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |