Bury vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 3
LEI
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WYC
4 - 0
BCF
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 0
STF
43%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
1 - 2
LEY
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 1
DON
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 0
WRE
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 0
WRE
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
WRE
2 - 0
BOS
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |