Bury vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
BPO
0 - 1
BCF
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
BCF
0 - 1
TRA
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
BCF
0 - 0
HUR
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
QPR
3 - 0
BCF
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
SWI
3 - 1
BCF
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
WRE
2 - 2
SWI
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
OLD
3 - 1
WRE
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
WRE
0 - 0
WYC
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
COL
2 - 1
WRE
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
WRE
0 - 2
REA
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |