Bury vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 0
BCF
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
BCF
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
BCF
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 0
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
WAL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 3
ROC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
POS
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 1
WAL
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |