Bury vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
STF
2 - 1
BCF
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BCF
3 - 3
WAL
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
BCF
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BCF
5 - 1
POS
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 2
BCF
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 2
OXF
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 0
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
POS
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 2
SWI
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 1
STF
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |