Bury vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
QPR
0 - 0
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 0
CRE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
BUR
1 - 4
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
IPS
0 - 0
BCF
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
WOL
1 - 0
SWI
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
WYC
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 1
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
SWI
2 - 1
WYC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |