EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-4
Bury vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
POR
1 - 1
BCF
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
2 - 1
BCF
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 0
TRA
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 2
BCF
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
1 - 1
WOL
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
2 - 1
BCF
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 1
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
BRA
0 - 4
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
3 - 1
OXF
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |