Bury vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
BBU
5 - 1
BCF
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 3
BCF
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
ARS
59%
20%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 0
BCF
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 0
SHW
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 1
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
SUN
3 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
MID
3 - 2
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |