Bury vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 2
SHE
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 1
BCF
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 2
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 1
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 1
BBU
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
BRI
3 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 3
SUN
72%
16%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHW
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
SUN
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |