Bury vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 1
BCF
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 0
STO
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 4
BCF
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 3
BOL
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
SHE
3 - 0
BCF
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
0 - 1
SUN
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |