Bury vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1900 |
STO
2 - 0
BCF
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1900 |
EVE
2 - 0
BCF
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1900 |
BCF
0 - 1
STO
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1900 |
LIV
2 - 0
BCF
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1900 |
BCF
1 - 0
WBA
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1900 |
SOU
3 - 0
MIL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1900 |
SOU
0 - 0
MIL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1898 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1898 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1898 |
SOU
4 - 0
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |