Bury vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 4
BCF
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
BCF
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
STA
0 - 0
BCF
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BCF
1 - 1
OXF
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
3 - 0
OXF
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 1
ROC
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 3
ROC
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |