Bury vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
BCF
3 - 1
GRI
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
YEO
0 - 1
BCF
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BCF
1 - 1
BRO
37%
29%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 1
CAM
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 1
WYC
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
SOU
3 - 0
ROC
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ROC
0 - 0
SCU
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SWA
2 - 2
ROC
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |