Bury vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
BCF
2 - 0
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
WAT
0 - 0
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
LUT
0 - 0
BCF
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 0
POS
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 0
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
MAC
3 - 2
REA
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
REA
2 - 0
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
CRY
3 - 2
REA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
GRI
2 - 0
REA
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
REA
2 - 1
WOL
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |