Bury vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
BCF
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BCF
0 - 3
GUL
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
BCF
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 1
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BCF
3 - 0
CRE
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BOU
4 - 0
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
NOT
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 1
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
STA
1 - 2
POR
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |