Bury vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
WBA
1 - 0
BCF
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
BCF
2 - 1
BOL
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
GRI
0 - 0
BCF
57%
25%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
BCF
2 - 5
SUN
11%
25%
63%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
OXF
0 - 1
BCF
62%
22%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
QPR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 2
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 0
OXF
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |