Bury vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 1
RAM
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PRH
1 - 2
BCF
6%
15%
79%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
WYA
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 2
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 0
CHA
45%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 2
CHA
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
5 - 1
WES
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
7 - 0
SKE
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
PAD
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +2 |