Bury vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
BCF
3 - 0
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
3 - 2
BCF
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
BCF
0 - 0
NOT
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 0
BCF
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
BCF
4 - 2
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
EVE
1 - 0
OLD
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
OLD
3 - 1
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
MAC
2 - 0
OLD
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 3
MUD
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
NTT
4 - 1
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |