Bury vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
NOT
2 - 1
BCF
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BCF
1 - 1
SHW
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
SHW
2 - 0
BCF
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
BCF
3 - 0
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
STO
0 - 1
BCF
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
NOT
2 - 1
BCF
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
LEY
3 - 0
NOT
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
NOT
3 - 1
LEY
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
NOT
3 - 0
STO
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |