Bury vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
LEI
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 0
BCF
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
BRA
4 - 1
BCF
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
NOT
3 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |