Bury vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
NOR
2 - 2
BCF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
IPS
2 - 0
BCF
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
QPR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
BCF
2 - 1
BIR
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SWI
3 - 1
BCF
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
NTT
3 - 1
CRE
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
REA
3 - 3
NTT
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
NTT
1 - 0
WBA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
NTT
2 - 2
TRA
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
HUR
0 - 2
NTT
20%
26%
53%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |