Bury vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
BCF
2 - 2
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 3
BCF
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
SUN
43%
23%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
BBU
5 - 1
BCF
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 4
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 2
TOT
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
TOT
2 - 2
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 0
BRI
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 3
NTT
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |