Bury vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 0
BCF
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 2
ROC
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 2
WIG
14%
23%
63%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MKD
2 - 1
BCF
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BPO
3 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
POS
2 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 4
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 0
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
STF
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |