Bury vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
BUR
0 - 0
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
BCF
2 - 3
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 2
BCF
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 3
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1926 |
WHU
1 - 2
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
NEW
5 - 2
WBA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
NEW
6 - 1
BBU
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 3
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1926 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIV
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |