Bury vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
BCF
1 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
MAC
2 - 2
BCF
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
DER
2 - 1
BCF
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
5 - 1
SHW
65%
19%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 4
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |