Bury vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
PNE
1 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 2
BBU
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
WBA
2 - 0
BCF
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 2
SUN
32%
24%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
MID
1 - 1
SHW
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
BBU
2 - 1
MID
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
MID
3 - 3
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 0
MID
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
MID
0 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |