Bury vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
TOT
5 - 0
BCF
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
BRI
2 - 0
BCF
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
SHW
56%
21%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 1
BCF
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
MID
2 - 2
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
MUD
1 - 2
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
MID
4 - 1
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |