Bury vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
SHW
1 - 4
BCF
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
BCF
3 - 4
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 1
BCF
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
BCF
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BRI
4 - 1
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
MID
5 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
SHW
1 - 5
MID
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
MID
0 - 2
SHE
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |