Bury vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 1
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 0
BCF
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 1
BCF
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
BCF
0 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
MID
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
73%
15%
11%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
BRI
0 - 1
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |