Bury vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
ARS
6 - 1
BCF
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 0
BCF
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 3
BCF
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1925 |
BCF
2 - 2
SUN
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 3
MUD
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
1 - 1
HUR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
MUD
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
0 - 0
TOT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |