Bury vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
TOT
2 - 1
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 1
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
MID
1 - 1
BCF
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
PNE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 2
SHW
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 1
SHW
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
BBU
2 - 2
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1911 |
MUD
8 - 4
SWI
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
WBA
1 - 0
MUD
30%
26%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |