Bury vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
BCF
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
NEW
5 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 0
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
MUD
38%
26%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 2
TOT
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
MUD
5 - 0
PNE
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |