Bury vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
BCF
4 - 1
WHU
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1925 |
BCF
8 - 1
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
LEI
0 - 2
BCF
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
LIV
0 - 1
BCF
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 3
MUD
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
LEE
3 - 4
MAC
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
MAC
5 - 1
LEI
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |