Bury vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 0
BCF
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
BCF
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 1
OLD
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 2
MAC
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
BBU
2 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 1
TOT
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |