Bury vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
BCF
2 - 2
BBU
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
BRA
2 - 2
BCF
62%
19%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
5 - 1
BCF
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
5 - 1
BCF
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |