Bury vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MID
0 - 1
BCF
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
PNE
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
BRI
4 - 2
BCF
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 1
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |