Bury vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 0
BAR
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 4
BCF
32%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
3 - 0
OXF
50%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
BCF
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
LIN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 4
GIL
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 0
LIN
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 6
ROT
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |