Bury vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BCF
4 - 0
KID
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 3
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
BCF
2 - 3
BUR
26%
25%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BCF
1 - 1
CHE
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GRI
5 - 1
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 0
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
DER
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SCU
3 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 3
RUS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |