Bury vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
SOU
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BCF
2 - 2
BOU
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 2
BCF
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
BCF
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BCF
2 - 0
OPA
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 3
LEY
46%
24%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 4
LEY
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LEY
2 - 0
PNE
28%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 3
LEY
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 4
LEY
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |