Bury vs Leicester U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
BCF
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BCF
2 - 2
MAN
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
BCF
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
BCF
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 2
LEI
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
OLD
4 - 2
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
SCU
1 - 2
LEI
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 2
LEI
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CUM
0 - 1
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |