Bury vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 3
BCF
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BCF
3 - 4
FLE
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BCF
2 - 2
SWI
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WIG
1 - 2
BCF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
BCF
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
TOT
31%
25%
45%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WHU
1 - 2
LEI
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LEI
4 - 2
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEI
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 2
LEI
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |