Bury vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
BCF
4 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 1
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 1
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
LEI
0 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1927 |
LEI
3 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
MUD
1 - 0
LEI
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
SHE
0 - 3
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |