Bury vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 1
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 1
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
2 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
LEE
3 - 1
WBA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
SUN
6 - 2
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
LEE
1 - 1
HUR
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
EVE
2 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
LEE
1 - 1
LEI
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |